Hercules Capital Stock Performance
| HTGC Stock | USD 16.45 0.12 0.73% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.56, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hercules Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hercules Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Hercules Capital has a negative expected return of -0.0821%. Please make sure to check out Hercules Capital's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Hercules Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Hercules Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Hercules Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.83) | Five Day Return (12.49) | Year To Date Return (13.41) | Ten Year Return 51.34 | All Time Return 26 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.1074 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.88 | Dividend Date 2025-11-19 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-12 |
1 | Hercules Capital, Inc. to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.40 on November 19th | 11/10/2025 |
| Hercules Capital dividend paid on 19th of November 2025 | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Is Hercules Capital Inc. stock a safe haven asset - July 2025 Big Picture AI Powered Buy and Sell Recommendations - B NI V | 11/28/2025 |
3 | The mystery of the Hercules gene - the blessing and curse of sports stars | 12/18/2025 |
4 | Sage Advisors LLC Buys Shares of 58,030 Hercules Capital, Inc. HTGC | 01/05/2026 |
5 | Hercules Capital Stock Declines While Market Improves Some Information for Investors | 01/06/2026 |
6 | Has Hercules Capital Pullback Created A New Opportunity For Investors | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 50081 shares by Scott Bluestein of Hercules Capital at 18.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
8 | Hercules Capital Rises As Market Takes a Dip Key Facts | 01/14/2026 |
9 | Lockheed Martin Welcomes Mexico to the C-130J Super Hercules Fleet | 01/21/2026 |
10 | 2 Financials Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 1 We Turn Down | 01/26/2026 |
11 | A Look At Hercules Capital Valuation After The Expanded Savara Loan Agreement | 01/28/2026 |
12 | HSBC downgrades Bloom Energy after significant rally - Yahoo Finance Australia | 02/02/2026 |
13 | Do Hercules Capitals New Unsecured Notes Reveal a Shift in Its Risk-Return Playbook | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 116 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -705 K |
Hercules Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,738 in Hercules Capital on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (93.00) from holding Hercules Capital or give up 5.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hercules Capital is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.2665% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Hercules, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Hercules Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Hercules Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.45 | 90 days | 16.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hercules Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hercules Capital probability density function shows the probability of Hercules Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Hercules Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hercules Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hercules Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hercules Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hercules Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hercules Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hercules Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hercules Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Hercules Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hercules Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hercules Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hercules Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hercules Capital currently holds about 115.31 M in cash with (118.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Hercules Capital has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Do Hercules Capitals New Unsecured Notes Reveal a Shift in Its Risk-Return Playbook |
Hercules Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hercules Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hercules Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hercules Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.1 M |
Hercules Capital Fundamentals Growth
Hercules Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hercules Capital, and Hercules Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hercules Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0671 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.60 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.84 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.19 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 181.72 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 5.16 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.45 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.97 X | ||||
| Revenue | 430.9 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 516.85 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 263.43 M | ||||
| Net Income | 31.49 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 115.31 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.92 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.79 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.13 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.65 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.20 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (118.09 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.69 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.09 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.83 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 88.92 M | ||||
About Hercules Capital Performance
By analyzing Hercules Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Hercules Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Hercules Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hercules Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | 0.07 |
Things to note about Hercules Capital performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hercules Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hercules Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hercules Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hercules Capital currently holds about 115.31 M in cash with (118.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Hercules Capital has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Do Hercules Capitals New Unsecured Notes Reveal a Shift in Its Risk-Return Playbook |
- Analyzing Hercules Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hercules Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Hercules Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Hercules Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hercules Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hercules Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hercules Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Hercules Stock analysis
When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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